5. There is a further, fundamental, reason for not expecting any radical change in direction, no matter what the change in personnel at the top. And that is the concept on which the whole organisation is founded.
I think that the observations made in point number five are completely accurate. We need to fully realize and remember what the organization is in the minds of JWs (including its leadership). The organization is a conduit through which God's exclusive communication and Holy Spirit flows. The organization is for all intents and purposes, an earthly mediator-like institution. Many of us have noted that the Watchtower continuously draws parallels between Moses, Aaron, and the Old Covenant Priesthood with the modern day organization. Such a parallel has the appearance of being Scripturally based on its surface. The organization is viewed as an extension of Jehovah God. It is veiwed as a material manifestation of his purposes; a visible reflection of His thoughts; similar to a computer monitor displaying what the computer is currently processing. To be separated from the organization is to be separated from Jehovah. The Governing Body did not create this concept. They themselves were indoctrinated with it through the Watchtower's publications. It is a case of the indoctrinated leading the indoctrinated; or as Jesus put it: "the blind leading the blind".
It is this exclusivity that governs everyone's thinking in the organization - everyone from the local microphone handler, all the way up to the Governing Body. Many of us could say that the Governing Body display arrogance and elititsm. This is true, however, such spiritual arrogance and elitism is collective; not individual. Rank and file JWs view themselves as holier and more righteous to any other religionist. They think it is just fine and dandy that people (including innocent children) should be smitten by Jehovah for not accepting the Watchtower's gospel. How may times have we heard individual JWs ridicule other Christians as being "stupid", "blind", or "foolish". How many times have we heard JWs in field service comment on how they were going to take people's houses after they all had been destroyed at Armageddon. So, I belieive that the arrogance is collectively manifested in the organization due to the concept of "God's exclusive backing" of the organization.
Ray Franz once commented that reforms in the Watchtower do not amount to much. He commented that changes in Governing Body members, personnell, and department structures were like re-arranging the interior walls inside of a house. It may look slightly different, but the underlying foundation will always be there.
There will always be people throughout the earth who cling to that "foundation", that concept. The Watchtower could loose 80% of its membership, and the remaining 20% would become even more entrenched and committed to the organization. The Watchtower / JW organization will always be here. It may reform, restructure, fiddle with its doctrines, and change leadership, but the concept that gave it its birth will always be here. If the Mormom church with all of its scandals, upheavals, ex-communications, reforms, moronic doctrines, and idiotic nonsense can continure to exist after all of this time, than so can the Watchtower.